Different nations have managed to get R[0] properly under 1—have begun considerably shrinking the each day variety of new circumstances.

The US has not:

Our present degree of social distancing and lockdown seems to be producing about 30,000 new confirmed circumstances a day. We’re now not—and haven’t for 2 weeks been—ramping up and utilitizing our testing capabilities. On our present trajectory we glance to be incurring about 2000 reported coronavirus deaths a day.

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Our medical system is dealing with the present run of circumstances. However it could be good to get the variety of circumstances down and the variety of checks up in order that we might start implementing test-and-trace. However that requires much more checks—which aren’t there. And that required simpler social distancing to get R[0] considerably under one—which isn’t there, definitely not at a nationwide degree.


#coronavirus #highlighted #orangehairedbaboons #2020-04-18

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