The unfolding disaster in actual property in China is rising as considered one of Beijing’s hardest challenges within the coming yr. Actual estate-related actions together with, cement and metal manufacturing, registered steep contractions final month, as did property gross sales and new building tasks. That has led to decreased property funding, which contracted in September for the primary time since March 2020. On Wednesday, the Nationwide Bureau of Statistics introduced that common housing costs in 70 main cities dropped barely in October from the earlier month. Goldman Sachs estimated the month-on-month drop at an annualized charge of 0.5%, the primary decline since April 2015. The nation’s GDP grew at its slowest tempo in a yr final quarter, increasing simply 4.9% from a yr earlier. In comparison with the prior quarter, the economic system grew a mere 0.2% within the July-to-September interval — one of many weakest quarters since China began releasing such information in 2011.

Japan’s export development weakened to its slowest in seven months in September, whereas a surge in imports added to worries that pandemic-led world provide chain snags may derail the nation’s fragile financial restoration. The commerce knowledge can be amongst components the Financial institution of Japan will scrutinize when it releases contemporary quarterly development and inflation projections at its coverage assembly later this month. Exports rose 13.0% in September from a yr earlier, Ministry of Finance knowledge confirmed on Wednesday, in contrast with a median market forecast for an 11.0% rise, as automotive shipments tumbled 40.3%, the primary drop in seven months.


The key Asian inventory markets had a blended day right now:

  • NIKKEI 225 elevated 40.03 or 0.14% to 29,255.55
  • Shanghai decreased 6.15 or -0.17% to three,587.00
  • Cling Seng elevated 348.81 factors or 1.35% to 26,136.02
  • ASX 200 elevated 38.80 factors or 0.53% to 7,413.70
  • Kospi decreased 15.91 factors or -0.53% to three,013.13
  • SENSEX decreased 456.09 factors or -0.74% to 61,259.96
  • Nifty50 decreased 152.15 factors or -0.83% to 18,266.60



The key Asian forex markets had a blended day right now:

  • AUDUSD elevated 0.00344 or 0.46% to 0.75080
  • NZDUSD elevated 0.00437 or 0.61% to 0.71976
  • USDJPY decreased 0.33 or -0.29% to 114.20
  • USDCNY elevated 0.01855 or 0.29% to six.39323


Valuable Metals:

  • Gold elevated 15.Three USD/t oz. or 0.86% to 1,784.17
  • Silver elevated 0.7 USD/t. ouncesor 2.96% to 24.350


Some financial information from final night time:


Home Costs (YoY) (Sep) decreased from 4.2% to three.8%

PBoC Mortgage Prime Price stay the identical at 3.85%

FDI (Sep) decreased from 22.30% to 19.60%


Adjusted Commerce Stability decreased from -0.34T to -0.62T

Exports (YoY) (Sep) decreased from 26.2% to 13.0%

Imports (YoY) (Sep) decreased from 44.7% to 38.6%

Commerce Stability (Sep) elevated from -637.2B to -622.8B


MI Main Index (MoM) elevated from -0.3% to 0.0%


No financial information from right now:



French President Emmanuel Macron has introduced plans to observe in Germany’s footsteps by making digital therapeutics out there on prescription by means of the statutory well being system. Talking on the HealthTech Innovation Days (HTID) occasion in Paris earlier this month, French President Emmanuel Macron introduced: “We’re additionally creating a direct entry process for market entry for progressive merchandise, the identical manner as in Germany. I’m very direct with you – we are going to simply replicate what works in Germany.” The DiGA initiative, created beneath the 2019 Digital Healthcare Act (DVG), means medical doctors can prescribe apps to the 73 million German residents lined by public well being, with prices reimbursed by means of medical insurance.

Weekend commentary from Financial institution of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey served to focus on simply how shut we may very well be to a charge hike at Threadneedle Avenue. With markets now pricing in a 82% probability of a 25 foundation level (bp) charge rise in November, markets are more and more steadfast of their view that the BoE will transfer subsequent month. Inflation can be a vital issue for the rate of interest outlook, with the newest UK shopper value index (CPI) determine bringing a welcome decline for each headline and core CPI. The prospect of a protracted push greater in charges can be pushed by continued above-target inflation, and thus any signal that CPI has topped out may weaken the case for a number of hikes.

The key Europe inventory markets had a inexperienced day:

  • CAC 40 elevated 35.76 factors or 0.54% to six,705.61
  • FTSE 100 elevated 5.57 factors or 0.08% to 7,223.10
  • DAX 30 elevated 7.09 factors or 0.05% to 15,522.92



The key Europe forex markets had a blended day right now:

  • EURUSD elevated 0.00217 or 0.19% to 1.16530
  • GBPUSD elevated 0.00334 or 0.24% to 1.38252
  • USDCHF decreased 0.0041 or -0.44% to 0.91898


Some financial information from Europe right now:


Core CPI MoM (MoM) (Sep) decreased from 0.7% to 0.4%

Core CPI (YoY) (Sep) decreased from 3.1% to 2.9%

Core PPI Output (MoM) (Sep) decreased from 0.9% to 0.5%

Core PPI Output (YoY) (Sep) elevated from 5.4% to five.9%

Core RPI (MoM) (Sep) decreased from 0.7% to 0.4%

Core RPI (YoY) (Sep) elevated from 4.9% to five.0%

CPI (YoY) (Sep) decreased from 3.2% to three.1%

CPI (MoM) (Sep) decreased from 0.7% to 0.3%

CPI, n.s.a (Sep) elevated from 112.10 to 112.40

PPI Enter (YoY) (Sep) elevated from 11.2% to 11.4%

PPI Enter (MoM) (Sep) decreased from 0.5% to 0.4%

PPI Output (YoY) (Sep) elevated from 6.0% to six.7%

PPI Output (MoM) (Sep) decreased from 0.7% to 0.5%

RPI (YoY) (Sep) elevated from 4.8% to 4.9%

RPI (MoM) (Sep) decreased from 0.6% to 0.4%



German PPI (MoM) (Sep) elevated from 1.5% to 2.3%

German PPI (YoY) (Sep) elevated from 12.0% to 14.2%


Euro Zone:

Present Account (Aug) decreased from 21.6B to 13.4B

Present Account n.s.a. (Aug) decreased from 30.2B to 17.6B

Core CPI (MoM) (Sep) elevated from 0.4% to 0.5%

Core CPI (YoY) (Sep) elevated from 1.6% to 1.9%

CPI (YoY) (Sep) elevated from 3.0% to three.4%

CPI (MoM) (Sep) elevated from 0.4% to 0.5%

CPI ex Tobacco (YoY) (Sep) elevated from 3.0% to three.4%

CPI ex Tobacco (MoM) (Sep) elevated from 0.4% to 0.5%

HICP ex Power & Meals (YoY) (Sep) elevated from 1.6% to 1.9%

HICP ex Power and Meals (MoM) (Sep) elevated from 0.2% to 0.4%


At a time when financial institution shares are seeing notable positive factors, overdraft charges have reached an all-time excessive. Checking and ATM charges are as much as $33.58 in comparison with $33.47 final yr, in accordance with That is the third consecutive yr the place overdraft charges have risen. Senator Elizabeth Warren not too long ago debated JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon to toe on the difficulty. Warren claims the difficulty disproportionately preys on low web price Individuals, whereas Dimon mentioned an overdraft price is more cost effective than a bounced test. Dimon did trace that he would doubtlessly contemplate altering overdraft coverage whereas talking with Fox Enterprise. Bankrate’s research additionally discovered that the typical month-to-month service price for curiosity checking accounts is up $16.35 or 5.5% from final yr, whereas the typical stability price jumped 31%. The common account stability reached a document excessive of $9,896.81 in comparison with final yr’s document of $7,550.42. Solely 12% of banks providing curiosity checking accounts within the US are prepared to waive annual charges if customers choose the direct deposit possibility. At the very least 80% of curiosity checking accounts do require a stability minimal.

Canada’s CPI rose 4.4% YoY in September, in accordance with a report launched by Statistics Canada right now. This marks the quickest tempo of development since February 2003. Excluding gasoline, CPI rose 3.5% YoY. On the month-to-month stage, CPI rose 0.2% final month, matching August’s development. Canada’s month-to-month CPI has elevated for the previous 9 consecutive months. Costs in each main sector noticed positive factors, with transportation seeing essentially the most notable improve at 9.1%. Shelter costs rose 4.8%, whereas meals costs rose 3.9%. Primary residing bills, corresponding to meals, proceed to rise. Meat costs spiked 9.5%, the quickest tempo since April 2015, whereas costs on hen (+10.3%), frozen and contemporary beef (+13%), pork (+9.5%), and bacon (+20%) noticed massive will increase as effectively. As for gasoline, costs elevated 32.8% YoY, main some to ponder whether or not discontinuing the pipeline was a poor alternative.

US Market Closings:

  • Dow superior 152.03 factors or 0.43% to 35,609.34
  • S&P 500 superior 16.56 factors or 0.37% to 4,536.19
  • Nasdaq declined 7.41 factors or -0.05% to 15,121.68
  • Russell 2000 superior 13.85 factors or 0.61% to 2,289.77


Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite superior 101.2 factors or 0.48% to 21,188.19
  • TSX 60 superior 6.61 factors or 0.52% to 1,272.92


Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa superior 113.67 factors or 0.1% to 110,786.81





The oil markets had a inexperienced day right now:


  • Crude Oil elevated 0.62 USD/BBL or 0.75% to 83.5800
  • Brent elevated 0.43 USD/BBL or 0.51% to 85.5100
  • Pure gasoline elevated 0.074 USD/MMBtu or 1.45% to five.1620
  • Gasoline elevated 0.0178 USD/GAL or 0.72% to 2.4933
  • Heating oil elevated 0.0231 USD/GAL or 0.90% to 2.5838


The above knowledge was collected round 13:38 EST on Wednesday


  • Prime commodity gainers: Silver (2.96%) and Palm Oil (2.47%), Cotton (2.36%) and Zinc (3.50%)
  • Prime commodity losers: Bitumen (-4.37%), Methanol (-4.18%), Cocoa (-2.03%), and Lumber (-2.69%)


The above knowledge was collected round 13:45 EST on Wednesday




Japan 0.099%(+1bp), US 2’s 0.3773%(-0.02%), US 10’s 1.6382%(-0.25bps); US 30’s 2.1235%(

+0.03%),Bunds -0.119% (-0.5bp), France 0.2160% (-1.2bp), Italy 0.9177% (-3.04bp), Turkey 19.25% (+20bp), Greece 0.9970% (-1.3bp), Portugal 0.406% (-0.3bp); Spain 0.524% (-1.13bp) and UK Gilts 1.151% (-1.7bp).

The publish Market Discuss – October 20, 2021 first appeared on Armstrong Economics.


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