On March 9, I wrote a publish titled “COVID-19 in context” which confirmed that COVID-19 (annualized) demise fee would make it the the 27th main reason behind demise worldwide. By March 21st, it was the 17th main reason behind demise. Now, on March 31st, COVID-19 is the 13th main reason behind demise (worldwide), if we annualize as we speak’s demise fee from the WHO state of affairs report. Right here is the newest determine from the March 31 WHO state of affairs report.
When this publish was written, there have been 750,890 COVID instances worldwide with 57,610 deaths. New instances have appeared to flatten a bit based mostly on the WHO knowledge however the latest knowledge from John Hopkins reveals an rising pattern in variety of instances when including in a full rely of as we speak’s numbers. Nonetheless, COVID-19 nonetheless falls behind different ailments similar to Diarrheal ailments, Diabetes, Liver ailments, Street accidents and Kidney illness (mortality ranks #8-#12) and simply forward of tuberculosis and HIV (ranks #13-#14).
The Institute for Well being Metrics and Analysis (IHME) on the College of Washington initiatives that the height variety of COVID-19 instances within the US will happen on April 15. In addition they venture that by August there might be a complete of 83,967 COVID-19 deaths. If this quantity holds and we assume that the 2020 variety of deaths for different ailments is similar because the quantity 2019 US deaths, then COVID-19 could be the #7 main reason behind demise within the US, on par with diabetes.